Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
RIO
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
RIO
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 0
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 1
RIO
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
RIO
4 - 1
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
RBB
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 1
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
INT
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |