Rio Branco SP vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 3
PAU
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 1
RIO
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 1
RIO
30%
23%
47%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
CAT
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
VEL
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
56%
26%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 2
OES
24%
26%
51%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
COM
56%
24%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
BAT
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |