Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1999 |
SCP
2 - 0
RIO
78%
16%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
RIO
1 - 1
ACA
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
CHA
0 - 0
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
RIO
1 - 1
VST
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
SLB
3 - 1
RIO
81%
14%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
CAM
3 - 0
EST
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
EST
0 - 1
SCP
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
ACA
2 - 2
EST
30%
30%
40%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
EST
2 - 1
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
VST
2 - 0
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |