Rio Ave vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
61.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 0
RIO
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
FEI
59%
24%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIO
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 0
RIO
39%
29%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SLB
4 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SLB
2 - 1
GFC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
43%
25%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CHL
2 - 1
SLB
65%
20%
16%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |