Rimini vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
27%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
LEC
2 - 2
RIM
57%
27%
16%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
RIM
1 - 1
SSS
58%
27%
16%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
USC
3 - 1
RIM
56%
28%
17%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
RIM
2 - 2
PIS
45%
30%
25%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
CAV
2 - 0
RIM
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
VAR
0 - 1
CAV
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
USF
0 - 0
VAR
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
VAR
2 - 0
SAM
54%
26%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
VER
3 - 1
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
VAR
3 - 1
PES
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |