HNK Rijeka vs Lokomotiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
10º
4º
43
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
1 - 0
RIJ
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
HKS
35%
24%
41%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
1 - 0
HNS
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
1 - 1
OSI
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RIJ
1 - 1
CEL
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 0
HNS
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
OSI
2 - 2
LOK
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 2
DZG
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
NKV
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 2
LOK
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |