FK RFS vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
89
1º
7º
1º
35
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
RIG
0 - 2
SFK
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
AUD
2 - 5
RIG
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
RIG
4 - 1
MAK
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 3
RIG
12%
18%
70%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 1
RIG
22%
22%
56%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 6
CAR
19%
25%
57%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 3
FKT
11%
13%
75%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
6 - 0
FKT
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 1
FSM
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 5
FKT
17%
19%
64%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |