FK RFS vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
RIG
4 - 0
AUD
72%
16%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
RIG
0 - 1
GEN
49%
23%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
SKA
0 - 2
RIG
12%
17%
72%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
GEN
2 - 2
RIG
46%
24%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RIG
4 - 1
FSM
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
LIE
1 - 0
BFC
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
BFC
1 - 1
LIE
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FKS
0 - 1
BFC
58%
21%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
LDZ
0 - 3
BFC
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BFC
3 - 1
FSM
52%
24%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |