Riga FC II vs Ogre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
5.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+158%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
10º
4º
29
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
VJK
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
NOM
4 - 0
RIG
51%
20%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
RIG
14%
16%
70%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 3
HJP
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 0
DRS
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
FKJ
3 - 1
OUD
87%
8%
4%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
OUD
4 - 0
RIG
33%
21%
46%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
OUD
1 - 1
PAR
16%
18%
66%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
AUG
2 - 1
OUD
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |