Rieti vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
RIE
2 - 2
ACS
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
GSA
4 - 3
RIE
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
RIE
1 - 1
ASC
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 1
RIE
23%
25%
53%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
RIE
1 - 3
SCA
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
PON
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PON
0 - 1
ASD
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MAS
1 - 4
PON
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ASS
2 - 2
PON
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
PON
1 - 4
GAV
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |