Rieti vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
46.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
GAV
1 - 0
RIE
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
RIE
2 - 0
ORV
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
RIE
0 - 1
ASD
75%
17%
9%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
APC
2 - 0
RIE
13%
22%
65%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | -3 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
RIE
6 - 1
MAS
24%
26%
50%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ASL
3 - 0
SAN
76%
17%
8%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ASD
0 - 4
ASL
17%
26%
57%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ASL
3 - 1
PON
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MAS
0 - 3
ASL
30%
31%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ASL
1 - 2
GSA
74%
18%
9%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | -1 |