Richmond vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
68.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
RIC
3 - 1
WHZ
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
RIC
1 - 2
ESR
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 2
RIC
12%
20%
68%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
RIC
2 - 3
SOU
8%
21%
71%
|
29 | 71 | 42 | -4 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
COE
1 - 2
RIC
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 3
ESR
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 1
GRE
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 2
HEU
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SGC
0 - 2
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 0
WES
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |