Richards Bay vs AmaZulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
16º
8º
35
5º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
14.5% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
RIB
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RIB
0 - 1
MAG
28%
24%
48%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 0
RIB
63%
22%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RIB
0 - 0
MPU
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SUF
2 - 0
RIB
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AmaZulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 0
CHI
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
PIR
2 - 1
AMA
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 2
SFC
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 0
AMA
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 3
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |