Capital vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
64.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 2
PAR
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 1
CAP
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
PAL
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
GUR
1 - 0
CAP
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAP
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
TOC
5 - 2
TOC
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
TOC
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 1
INT
36%
26%
39%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 2
TOC
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GUR
2 - 1
TOC
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |