Capital vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
60.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
INT
2 - 0
CAP
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
TMI
1 - 1
CAP
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAP
0 - 0
TOC
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NCO
2 - 0
CAP
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 2
ARA
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
TOC
4 - 1
GUR
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
GUR
1 - 5
PAL
45%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GUR
1 - 3
NCO
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
5 - 0
GUR
17%
20%
64%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | -3 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
GUR
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |