Capital vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+115%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
INT
1 - 1
CAP
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 1
PAR
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
INT
1 - 0
CAP
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 2
ARA
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 1
TOC
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
GUR
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
GUR
1 - 0
JEC
15%
24%
61%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
3 - 1
GUR
67%
22%
11%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
GUR
2 - 0
RIO
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
GUR
2 - 1
LON
13%
22%
65%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | +1 |