Rhayader Town FC vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rhayader Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FLI
1 - 0
RHA
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
RHA
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
RHA
1 - 4
POR
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LLA
4 - 0
RHA
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
RHA
2 - 4
CAE
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 2
CAE
32%
23%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 1
CAE
24%
22%
54%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CAE
2 - 1
CAE
65%
19%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 4
CAE
31%
23%
46%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAE
5 - 0
RHY
91%
7%
2%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | +1 |