Reocin vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
RAY
1 - 0
REO
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
REO
3 - 0
TEX
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
CAS
1 - 2
REO
37%
27%
36%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
REO
8 - 0
NAV
85%
11%
4%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
REO
1 - 0
BAR
45%
27%
28%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
REV
0 - 5
BAR
17%
27%
56%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LAR
4 - 3
REV
79%
15%
6%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
REV
0 - 3
RIB
25%
27%
48%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
TRO
2 - 2
REV
75%
18%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
REV
1 - 3
BEZ
19%
26%
55%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |