North Macedonia Cup Final
Global 3-3
Renova vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
HTR
0 - 0
REN
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
REN
3 - 0
VAR
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
REN
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 0
REN
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
REN
1 - 0
SHK
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 0
RAB
47%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
REN
3 - 0
VAR
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
REN
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HTR
0 - 0
VAR
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |