Reno 1868 vs FC Tulsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
REN
4 - 0
RGV
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
REN
3 - 3
LVG
79%
14%
8%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
REN
1 - 0
LAG
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 0
REN
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FFC
1 - 1
REN
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TUL
1 - 1
SPK
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
TUL
1 - 4
SAC
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
TUL
2 - 1
USA
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
POR
4 - 0
TUL
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
SEA
4 - 4
TUL
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |