Reno 1868 vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SAC
3 - 3
REN
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
REN
7 - 1
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
ARI
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
SDL
1 - 3
REN
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
REN
5 - 2
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
TAC
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
LVG
3 - 1
TAC
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
SAC
3 - 1
TAC
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
TAC
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
POR
0 - 4
TAC
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |