Renate vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
REN
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
USA
61%
22%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ACG
2 - 1
REN
28%
26%
47%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
REN
3 - 1
PRO
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 1
REN
12%
21%
68%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 2
CAS
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
FCC
47%
26%
28%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 0
RIM
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
3 - 1
FCC
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCC
3 - 1
SCH
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |