Reggina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
PIA
0 - 0
REG
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
REG
1 - 0
FRO
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CTT
1 - 0
REG
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
REG
3 - 1
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
VIC
3 - 1
REG
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MOD
2 - 1
ANC
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
EMP
3 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 2
GRO
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAL
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |