Reggina vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NUO
2 - 0
REG
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
REG
0 - 0
JUS
40%
27%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SSB
2 - 2
REG
37%
27%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
REG
2 - 1
LEC
15%
23%
62%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MES
4 - 1
REG
26%
25%
50%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
CAS
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LRO
0 - 2
MAT
30%
27%
44%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 4
FCC
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 1
MES
65%
21%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 0
MAT
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |