Reggina vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
REG
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
VIC
0 - 0
REG
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
REG
1 - 0
GRO
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 2
REG
40%
26%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
REG
0 - 1
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 0
LAT
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 3
JUS
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
CRO
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 1
MOD
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CRO
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |