Redbridge vs Dereham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Redbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
4 - 0
RED
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RED
1 - 2
HEY
29%
24%
47%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
RED
0 - 6
HOR
20%
21%
58%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RED
1 - 4
AVE
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 3
RED
74%
16%
11%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
DEE
1 - 0
DER
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 0
DER
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HEY
0 - 2
DER
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
DER
0 - 3
HOR
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
DER
0 - 1
YEL
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |