Red Star vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 0
RED
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
RED
0 - 1
NIO
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
STR
0 - 0
RED
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
RED
1 - 0
STL
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
RED
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
NÎM
0 - 0
BOU
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
GAZ
0 - 2
NÎM
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
NÎM
2 - 2
TRO
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 3
NÎM
48%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
NIO
1 - 3
NÎM
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |