Red Arrows vs Lumwana Radiants analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ZAN
1 - 1
RED
53%
26%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
RED
1 - 0
MUF
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NKA
1 - 1
RED
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RED
1 - 1
GRE
46%
28%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LUD
2 - 1
RED
49%
28%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lumwana Radiants
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LUR
1 - 0
FOR
51%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LUR
0 - 2
ZES
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
NAP
1 - 0
LUR
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ZAN
1 - 0
LUR
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
POW
0 - 0
LUR
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |