Red Arrows vs Kabwe Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MUS
0 - 1
RED
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
EAG
0 - 0
RED
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RED
1 - 0
ZAN
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
KAB
1 - 0
RED
42%
27%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RED
2 - 1
KAB
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kabwe Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MUZ
0 - 1
KAB
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
KAB
2 - 0
NKA
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 1
KAB
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
KAB
1 - 0
RED
42%
27%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RED
2 - 1
KAB
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |