Red Arrows vs Green Buffaloes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
ZES
1 - 0
RED
52%
24%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RED
1 - 1
POW
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KON
1 - 1
RED
28%
29%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RED
4 - 0
NKW
52%
26%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PRL
1 - 2
RED
39%
28%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Green Buffaloes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
ZAN
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KAB
3 - 0
GRE
46%
28%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
KAD
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
EAG
60%
23%
18%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
POW
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |