Recanatese vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
REC
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
REC
1 - 3
SSS
16%
22%
63%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
REC
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REC
0 - 0
OLY
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
JES
0 - 1
REC
39%
27%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
FVE
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GIU
1 - 2
FER
26%
24%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FER
3 - 2
ISE
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
FER
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
FAN
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |