Recanatese vs Vastogirardi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
REC
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 4
REC
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
REC
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
REC
1 - 1
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
REC
3 - 0
RIE
49%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
VAS
2 - 1
CYN
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 0
SAN
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
VAS
4 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 1
VAS
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 3
VAS
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |