Reboceros de la Piedad vs CA Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
4º
19
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ADP
1 - 1
REB
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
REB
2 - 2
GAV
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ZIT
2 - 4
REB
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ADG
2 - 4
REB
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 28 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
REB
6 - 0
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
CA Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ZAC
3 - 1
PDS
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
HDZ
4 - 0
ZAC
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
4 - 3
ZAC
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 1
PDC
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 3
ZAC
30%
25%
46%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |