Clausura Ascenso MX . Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Reboceros de la Piedad vs Dorados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
REB
1 - 1
SAG
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
REB
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
REB
2 - 1
CSL
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GUE
1 - 3
REB
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
REB
3 - 0
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
DOR
2 - 0
TIG
59%
24%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TAM
1 - 2
DOR
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
DOR
2 - 1
UAT
50%
26%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CDT
1 - 1
DOR
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
DOR
1 - 1
MEX
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |