Real Zaragoza vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1996 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1995 |
MER
1 - 1
ZAR
29%
29%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
ZAR
5 - 3
VAD
76%
16%
7%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
DEP
2 - 3
ZAR
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
ZAR
0 - 0
CEL
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1996 |
RAY
4 - 1
MER
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1995 |
VAD
1 - 1
RAY
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
RAY
0 - 6
DEP
33%
30%
37%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
RAY
0 - 1
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
CEL
2 - 0
RAY
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |