Real Zaragoza vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
MUR
3 - 0
ZAR
64%
19%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
GIM
6 - 0
ZAR
56%
21%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
ZAR
2 - 0
RAC
55%
21%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
RCF
1 - 0
ZAR
49%
23%
27%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
MAL
7 - 0
ALG
86%
9%
5%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
CAD
3 - 1
MAL
34%
23%
43%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
MAL
4 - 1
LIN
87%
9%
5%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
MAL
5 - 1
REC
84%
10%
6%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
BAL
2 - 2
MAL
30%
24%
47%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |