Liga Nacional Castilla and Leon Round 4

Valladolid U19 B vs Burgos UD U19 analysis

Valladolid U19 B Burgos UD U19
19 ELO 11
3.5% Tilt -4.3%
12424º General ELO ranking 20856º
1555º Country ELO ranking 6457º
ELO win probability
81.5%
Valladolid U19 B
11.5%
Draw
7%
Burgos UD U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
Valladolid U19 B
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7%
Win probability
Burgos UD U19
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Valladolid U19 B
-49%
+13%
Burgos UD U19

Points and table prediction

Valladolid U19 B
Their league position
Burgos UD U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
18
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Burgos U19
72
75
91%
CD Leonesa U19
72
72
91%
Unionistas Salamanca U19
66
66
100%
Valladolid U19 B
58
58
100%
Ponferradina U19
49
49
100%
CD Parquesol U19
40
43
100%
UD Sur U19
35
35
54.5%
DiocesÁvila - UCAV U19
34
34
54.5%
Salamanca UDS U19
10º
34
34
75.5%
Puente Castro FC U19
34
34
10º
75.5%
UD Santa Marta U19
11º
33
33
11º
33.5%
Gimnástica Segoviana U19
12º
32
32
12º
0%
Victoria CF U19
13º
32
32
13º
19%
Mirandés Charca U19
14º
30
31
14º
67%
Fútbol Peña U19
15º
28
28
15º
100%
Burgos UD U19
16º
18
19
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Valladolid U19 B
Burgos UD U19
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Valladolid U19 B
Burgos UD U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valladolid U19 B
Valladolid U19 B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
SAN
UD Santa Marta U19
0 - 2
Valladolid U19 B
REA
20%
21%
59%
18 13 5 0
23 Sep. 2023
REA
Valladolid U19 B
3 - 2
Salamanca UDS U19
SAL
87%
9%
4%
18 9 9 0
16 Sep. 2023
VIC
Victoria CF U19
1 - 1
Valladolid U19 B
REA
9%
15%
76%
18 9 9 0
28 May. 2023
REA
Valladolid U19 B
1 - 2
UD Santa Marta U19
SAN
82%
12%
6%
19 12 7 -1
20 May. 2023
ZON
Zona Norte U19
0 - 4
Valladolid U19 B
REA
5%
12%
83%
19 7 12 0

Matches

Burgos UD U19
Burgos UD U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2023
BUD
Burgos UD U19
1 - 1
UD Sur U19
UDS
31%
23%
47%
11 15 4 0
24 Sep. 2023
PUE
Puente Castro FC U19
5 - 1
Burgos UD U19
BUD
45%
22%
33%
12 12 0 -1
16 Sep. 2023
BUD
Burgos UD U19
1 - 4
Ponferradina U19
PON
62%
19%
19%
14 12 2 -2
14 May. 2016
NUM
Numancia U19 B
0 - 0
Burgos UD U19
BUD
40%
23%
37%
13 11 2 +1
07 May. 2016
BUD
Burgos UD U19
2 - 0
Puente Castro FC U19
PUE
21%
20%
59%
11 16 5 +2