Real Sport Clube vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
12º
11º
31
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sport Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 1
REA
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
SCP
29%
26%
46%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
AMO
28%
27%
45%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
REA
81%
14%
6%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
REA
2 - 2
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
ACA
36%
26%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
ALV
32%
27%
42%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
VST
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
CAL
34%
28%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 2
CAL
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |