Real Santa Cruz vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
SAC
1 - 0
BOL
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
OPE
2 - 2
SAC
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
SAC
2 - 1
RPO
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2000 |
BLO
2 - 0
SAC
63%
20%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
SAC
4 - 1
CIP
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
JWI
2 - 1
RPO
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
BLO
1 - 0
JWI
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
JWI
3 - 1
CIP
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
GUA
2 - 0
JWI
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
JWI
2 - 0
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |