Real Pilar vs Victoriano Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
RPI
0 - 1
LUG
72%
19%
10%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ARM
0 - 1
RPI
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
RPI
0 - 0
MUÑ
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PUE
2 - 0
RPI
14%
22%
63%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
RPI
0 - 0
DPA
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 0
VIC
38%
30%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 1
LIN
55%
25%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
JUU
0 - 2
VIC
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
VIC
1 - 0
LAM
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 1
LUG
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |