Real Pharma vs UCSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+179%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
14º
14º
62
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 63 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
97% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 33 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
54% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
14º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 46% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 54% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Pharma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
RPH
82%
13%
5%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RPH
2 - 1
FKK
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
RPH
13%
17%
70%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -3 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RPH
0 - 2
FKT
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NYV
2 - 0
RPH
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
UCSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LIV
5 - 1
UCS
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FED
1 - 1
UCS
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
UCS
1 - 0
FKS
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OBO
1 - 0
UCS
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
FNB
2 - 1
UCS
74%
16%
11%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |