CD Lugo vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
COM
0 - 3
LUG
10%
19%
72%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PAP
1 - 0
LUG
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 0
LUG
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
RAY
0 - 1
LUG
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
OVI
1 - 2
CUL
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AVI
0 - 1
OVI
4%
14%
83%
|
70 | 27 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
OVI
2 - 0
MAJ
75%
17%
9%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CDT
2 - 2
OVI
44%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
OVI
1 - 1
MIR
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |