Real Noroeste vs Pouso Alegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 2
REA
41%
23%
36%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
REA
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
NVE
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
REA
3 - 0
FER
32%
30%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
REA
2 - 2
INT
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
POA
2 - 1
INT
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
POA
2 - 0
URT
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
POA
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 0
POA
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
POA
0 - 0
FER
32%
30%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |