Real Noroeste vs Águia Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
REA
1 - 2
LTD
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
URO
2 - 0
REA
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
REA
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
REA
0 - 0
APA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
REA
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
3 - 1
GOI
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
4 - 0
AGU
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 1
APA
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
AGU
2 - 1
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
LTD
0 - 0
AGU
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |