Real Murcia vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ALM
4 - 2
MUR
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 2
ELC
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 3
REC
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 0
CSK
25%
25%
49%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 0
GIR
78%
16%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CCF
2 - 0
VAD
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VAD
4 - 0
GIM
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
VAD
13%
23%
65%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
VAD
16%
24%
61%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |