Real Murcia vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 0
SAN
66%
22%
12%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 0
SEV
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 2
MUR
46%
29%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 0
MAL
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 3
MUR
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 4
YOB
14%
19%
67%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
STG
3 - 2
NEX
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
NEX
47%
24%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
NEX
3 - 3
ZUR
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
NEX
2 - 3
GCZ
49%
24%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |