Real Murcia vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
20%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
HER
1 - 0
MUR
66%
17%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
ALC
2 - 2
MUR
66%
18%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
MLL
4 - 0
MUR
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
MUR
0 - 0
BAL
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
RJA
3 - 2
MUR
64%
18%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
RJA
5 - 0
MEL
60%
18%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
MEL
0 - 0
UDL
46%
22%
32%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
MEL
3 - 0
CPC
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
ALC
6 - 3
MEL
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
PUL
2 - 1
MEL
51%
22%
27%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |