Real Murcia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
MUR
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SAB
2 - 2
MUR
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 0
RMC
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 2
MUR
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
NUM
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 2
HER
36%
30%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
REC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
HUE
1 - 1
HER
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
SPO
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |