Real Murcia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
BET
1 - 0
MUR
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
MUR
0 - 2
RSO
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
UDL
1 - 2
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
MUR
1 - 0
OSA
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
VCF
3 - 2
MUR
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
HER
5 - 1
SEV
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ATH
5 - 3
HER
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
HER
1 - 0
ALM
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1981 |
HER
3 - 2
FIG
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
VAD
2 - 1
HER
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |