Real Murcia vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
10%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.3%
3.2%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1977 |
AGD
0 - 0
MUR
41%
30%
28%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
MUR
5 - 1
ORI
87%
10%
3%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
MUR
2 - 0
LIN
83%
13%
4%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
XER
0 - 1
MUR
38%
30%
33%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
MUR
2 - 0
CDZ
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1977 |
ALG
1 - 0
MEL
73%
19%
8%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALG
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
ALG
0 - 0
CPC
68%
22%
11%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
MER
1 - 0
ALG
48%
31%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
ALG
3 - 0
GUA
78%
17%
6%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |